This Year In Cinema – Oscar Predictions for the 2016 Movie Year

Posted: February 27, 2017 in Uncategorized

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This year’s Oscars are a little bit more difficult than usual, so I’ve waited until the last minute…here. we. go!

Best Picture

1) La La Land

2) Moonlight   

3) Manchester by the Sea

4) Arrival

5) Hell or High Water

6) Hacksaw Ridge   

7) Hidden Figures   

8) Lion 

9) Fences

 

La La Land is the favorite, so I’m going against my Best Picture algorithm (which picks Moonlight), and picking it. The algorithm has been correct for 5 out of the last 6 Oscars.

 

Best Director

1)  Damien Chazelle – La La Land

2) Barry Jenkins – Moonlight

3) Mel Gibson – Hacksaw Ridge 

4) Kenneth Lonergan – Manchester by the Sea

5) Denis Villeneuve – Arrival

 

Best Actor

1) Casey Affleck – Manchester by the Sea

2) Denzel Washington – Fences

3) Ryan Gosling – La La Land

4) Andrew Garfield – Hacksaw Ridge

5) Viggo Mortensen – Captain Fantastic

So close. I’m barely picking Affleck.

 

Best Actress

1) Emma Stone La La Land

2) Natalie Portman – Jackie

3) Isabelle Huppert – Elle 

4) Ruth Negga – Loving   (#6)  

5) Meryl Streep – Florence Foster Jenkins

 

Best Supporting Actor

1) Mahershala Ali – Moonlight

2) Dev Patel – Lion

3) Jeff Bridges – Hell or High Water

4) Lucas Hedges – Manchester by the Sea

5) Michael Shannon – Nocturnal Animals   (#6)

Dev Patel has a bigger role and may win, but Ali was so good!

 

Best Supporting Actress

1) Viola Davis – Fences

2) Michelle Williams – Manchester by the Sea

3) Naomie Harris – Moonlight

4) Nicole Kidman – Lion

5) Octavia Spencer – Hidden Figures   (#6)

 

Best Foreign Language Film

1) Toni Erdmann

2) The Salesman 

3) A Man Called Ove

4) Land of Mine

5) Tanna

Toni is the better film. I’m not buying the whole The Salesman will win so Hollywood and stick it to Trump.

 

Best Animated Film

1) Zootopia

2) Kubo and the Two Strings 

3) My Life as a Zucchini

4) The Red Turtle

5) Moana

 

Best Documentary Film

1) O.J.: Made in America

2) 13th

3) Life, Animated  

4) I Am Not Your Negro

5) Fire at Sea  

 

Best Adapted Screenplay

1) Moonlight  

2) Fences 

3) Arrival

4) Lion

5) Hidden Figures 

 

Best Original Screenplay

1) Manchester by the Sea

2) La La Land

3) Hell or High Water

4) The Lobster   

5) 20th Century Women  

Another close one. Manchester could lose if too many voters just ride the La La Land wave.

 

Best Film Editing

1) La La Land

2) Moonlight  

3) Hacksaw Ridge

4) Hell or High Water 

5) Arrival

 

Best Cinematography

1) La La Land

2) Arrival

3) Moonlight

4) Lion  

5) Silence

 

Best Production Design

1) La La Land

2) Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

3)  Hail, Caesar!   

4) Arrival

5) Passengers  

 

Best Costume Design

1) Jackie

2) La La Land

3) Florence Foster Jenkins

4) Allied   

5) Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

Another close one. Jackie, just because it is a period piece.

 

Best Make-up and Hairstyling

1) Star Trek Beyond   

2) Suicide Squad

3) A Man Called Ove

 

Best Original Score

1) La La Land

2) Jackie

3) Moonlight 

4) Lion 

5) Passengers  

 

Best Original Song

1) “City of Stars” La La Land

2) “How Far I’ll Go” – Moana

3) “Can’t Stop the Feeling!” – Trolls

4) “Audition (The Fools Who Dream)” – La La Land

5) “The Empty Chair” – Jim: The James Foley Story  

 

Best Sound Mixing

1) La La Land

2) Hacksaw Ridge

3) Arrival

4) Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

5) 13 Hours 

 

Best Sound Editing

1) Hacksaw Ridge

2) La La Land

3) Arrival

4) Deepwater Horizon   

5) Sully 

Close. Hacksaw deserves it. Will voters understand the difference between mixing and editing?

 

Best Visual Effects

1) The Jungle Book

2) Doctor Strange

3) Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

4) Deepwater Horizon   

5) Kubo and the Two Strings 

 

Best Short Film

1) Mindenki (Sing)

2) Ennemis Intérieurs

3) Timecode

4) La Femme et le TGV   

5) Silent Nights

 

Best Animated Short Film

1) Piper

2) Pearl

3) Pear Cider and Cigarettes 

4) Borrowed Time

5) Blind Vaysha

 

Best Documentary Short Film

1) The White Helmets

2) Extremis

3) Joe’s Violin

4) Watani: My Homeland   (#8)

5) 4.1 Miles

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