Oscar Predictions – The First Round.

Posted: December 12, 2016 in Uncategorized

Awards season officially kicks off this weekend, with the Broadcast Film Critics Association bestowing their Critics’ Choice Awards on their favorite films. This means it is a good time to remind readers that these awards usually have little bearing on Oscar prospects. These are critics giving these awards, not movie professionals so there is no overlap. Of course, it should go without saying that those most deserving of the awards will be recognized the most, regardless of who is doing the nominating, because they are the best.

That being said. Here are my first round of picks for Oscar Nominations. Obviously, these could be changed, but I want a nice “told you so” trail to start even before the Critics Choice Awards this weekend. So here we go. Each category is ranked by how likely I think a nomination is. Not all categories are present yet, and tomorrow, in the aftermath of the Critics Choice Awards, I’ll be unveiling a special Oscar section of the site, that will keep track of predictions and their changes.

Best Picture

1) Manchester by the Sea

2) Moonlight

3) Silence

4) La La Land

5) Arrival

6) Hell or High Water

7) Hacksaw Ridge

8) Jackie

9) Fences

10) 20th Century Women


Best Director

1) Damien Chazelle – La La Land

2) Barry Jenkins – Moonlight

3) Martin Scorcese – Silence

4) Kenneth Lonergan – Manchester by the Sea

5) Denis Villeneuve – Arrival


Best Actor

1) Casey Affleck – Manchester by the Sea

2) Denzel Washington – Fences

3) Ryan Gosling – La La Land

4) Tom Hanks – Sully

5) Andrew Garfield – Hacksaw Ridge


Best Actress

1) Emma Stone – La La Land

2) Natalie Portman – Jackie

3) Annette Benning – 20th Century Women

4) Ruth Negga – Loving

5) Isabelle Huppert – Elle


Best Supporting Actor

1) Mahershala Ali – Moonlight

2) Lucas Hedges – Manchester by the Sea

3) Jeff Bridges – Hell or High Water

4) Liam Neeson – Silence

5) Michael Shannon – Nocturnal Animals


Best Supporting Actress

1) Michelle Williams – Manchester by the Sea

2) Viola Davis – Fences

3) Naomie Harris – Moonlight

4) Nicole Kidman – Lion

5) Greta Gerwig – 20th Century Women


 Best Adapted Screenplay

1) Silence

2) Arrival

3) Fences

4) Lion

5) Hacksaw Ridge


Best Original Screenplay

1) Manchester by the Sea

2) Moonlight

3) La La Land

4) Hell or High Water

5) Jackie


Best Animated Feature Film

1) Kubo and the Two Strings

2) Zootopia

3) Moana

4) The Red Turtle

5) Finding Dory


Best Cinematography

1) La La Land

2) Silence

3) Moonlight

4) Arrival

5) Jackie


Best Film Editing

1) La La Land

2) Silence

3) Moonlight

4) Arrival

5) Hacksaw Ridge


Best Sound Editing

1) La La Land

2) Hacksaw Ridge

3) Silence

4) Arrival

5) The Jungle Book


Best Sound Mixing

1) La La Land

2) Hacksaw Ridge

3) Silence

4) Rogue One

5) The Jungle Book

  1. Paul Meehl says:

    Amy Adams was pretty good in Arrival. No BA nomination for her?

  2. Ann Meehl says:

    Can’t wait!

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