Oscar Predictions – 2016!

Posted: February 29, 2016 in Oscars and Awards, This Weekend in Cinema, Top Films, Uncategorized
Tags: , , , , ,

Down to the wire this year! Here are my much awaited predictions. I was 100% correct on my Independent Spirit Award predictions yesterday, so here’s hoping these are as good!

Predictions are listed in the order I think they are likely to win. Bold indicates the predicted winner.

Edit: Rather than posting an entire new article about them, here are my results. I was 18 for 24. 18 for 21 not counting those pesky short film categories. I picked the two big upsets of the night correctly: Spotlight for Best Picture, and Mark Rylance for Best Supporting Actor.

Green text means the prediction was correct. Red text with a strikethrough means it was not. The actual winner will be bolded in that case. 

Best Picture 

Spotlight-copy-copy

  1. Spotlight
  2. The Revenant
  3. The Big Short
  4. Room
  5. Brooklyn
  6. The Revenant
  7. The Martian
  8. Mad Max: Fury Road
  9. Bridge of Spies

Wow. What a close race. Spotlight is not the current favorite, but I’ll pick it regardless.

Best Director

An Alternative View Of The Premiere Of 20th Century Fox's "The Revenant"

  1. Alejandro Inarritu (The Revenant)
  2. George Miller (Mad Max: Fury Road)
  3. Tom McCarthy (Spotlight)
  4. Adam McKay (The Big Short)
  5. Lenny Abrahamson (Room)

Best Actor

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  1. Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant)
  2. Michael Fassbender (Steve Jobs)
  3. Eddie Redmayne (The Danish Girl)
  4. Bryan Cranston (Trumbo)
  5. Matt Damon (The Martian)

Best Actress

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  1. Brie Larson (Room)
  2. Saoirse Ronan (Brooklyn)
  3. Jennifer Lawrence (Joy)
  4. Cate Blanchett (Carol)
  5. Charlotte Rampling (45 Years)

Best Supporting Actor

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  1. Mark Rylance (Bridge of Spies)
  2. Sylvester Stallone (Creed)
  3. Christian Bale (The Big Short)
  4. Tom Hardy (The Revenant)
  5. Mark Ruffalo (Spotlight)

I may regret not going with Stallone, but history is against him. He didn’t get a SAG or BAFTA nomination.

Best Supporting Actress

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  1. Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl)
  2. Kate Winslet (Steve Jobs)
  3. Jennifer Jason Leigh (The Hateful 8)
  4. Rooney Mara (Carol)
  5.  Rachel McAdams (Spotlight)

Best Original Screenplay

  1. Spotlight
  2. Bridge of Spies
  3. Inside Out
  4. Straight Outta Compton
  5. Ex Machina

Best Adapted Screenplay

  1. The Big Short
  2. Room
  3. The Martian
  4. Brooklyn
  5. Carol

Best Animated Feature Film

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  1. Inside Out
  2. Anomalisa
  3. Boy and the World
  4. Shaun the Sheep Movie
  5. When Marnie Was There

Best Documentary Film

  1. Amy
  2. The Look of Silence
  3. Cartel Land
  4. Winter on Fire
  5. What Happened, Miss Simone?

Best Foreign Film

  1. Son of Saul
  2. Mustang
  3. Theeb
  4. A War
  5. Embrace of the Serpent

Best Cinematography

  1. The Revenant
  2. Mad Max: Fury Road
  3. Sicario
  4. Carol
  5. The Hateful 8 

Best Costume Design

  1. Mad Max: Fury Road
  2. Cinderella
  3. The Danish Girl
  4. The Revenant
  5. Carol

Best Makeup and Hair

  1. Mad Max: Fury Road
  2. The Revenant 
  3. The 100 Year-Old Man Who Climbed Out the Window and Disappeared

Best Production Design

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  1. Mad Max: Fury Road
  2. The Revenant
  3. Bridge of Spies
  4. The Danish Girl
  5. The Martian

Best Film Editing

  1. Mad Max: Fury Road
  2. The Revenant
  3. Spotlight
  4. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
  5. The Big Short

Best Visual Effects

  1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
  2. Mad Max: Fury Road
  3. The Revenant
  4. The Martian
  5. Ex Machina

Best Original Score

  1. The Hateful 8
  2. Carol
  3. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
  4. Bridge of Spies
  5. Sicario

Best Original Song

  1. “’Til it Happens to You” (The Hunting Ground)
  2. “Writing’s on the Wall” (Spectre)
  3.  “Manta Ray” (Facing Extinction)
  4. “Simple Song 3” (Youth)
  5. “Earned It”

Best Sound Editing

  1. Mad Max: Fury Road
  2. The Revenant
  3. The Martian
  4. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
  5.  Sicario

Best Sound Mixing

  1. The Revenant
  2. Mad Max: Fury Road
  3. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
  4. The Martian
  5. Bridge of Spies

In both sound categories, its so close. Almost a tie between Revenant and Mad Max. I picked one for each to cover my bases.

Best Live Action Short (Total Crapshoot)

  1. Shok
  2. Ave Maria
  3. Everything Will Be Okay 
  4. Day One
  5. Stutterer

Best Animated Short 

  1. World of Tomorrow
  2. Sanjay’s Super Team
  3. Bear Story
  4. Prologue
  5. We Can’t Live Without Cosmos

Best Documentary Short  (Total Crapshoot)

  1. Chau, Behind the Lines
  2. Body Team 12
  3. Claude Lanzmann: Spectres of the Shoah
  4. Last Day of Freedom
  5. A Girl in the River: The Price of Forgiveness
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