This Year in Cinema: The Oscarwatch – 2014 (aka Oscar Nomination Predictions)

Posted: January 5, 2015 in Films
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Oscar voting ends this Thursday, but with other award organizations announcing their nominations soon, I’m jumping the gun and releasing mine earlier. Remember, these are just Oscar NOMINATION predictions, not Oscar winner predictions. Read on for part two of This Year in Cinema – The Oscarwatch 2014. I’ve placed stars (*) next to nominees I consider to be locks, and they are listed in order of their likelihood to garner a nomination.

Best Picture 


Side note here – anywhere from five to ten films can be nominated for Best Picture. I always pick ten to cover them all, although this year we may only get nine.

  1. Boyhood(Mark it down now, Boyhood will win Best Picture)
  2. Birdman*
  3. Selma
  4. The Imitation Game
  5. The Grand Budapest Hotel
  6. The Theory of Everything
  7. Whiplash
  8. Gone Girl
  9. Nightcrawler
  10. Foxcatcher

On the bubble: UnbrokenWildA Most Violent Year

List of my Best Picture favorites can be found here. I’ll update an awards listing as the major awards are announced.

Best Director

Ben Affleck in Gone Girl

  1. Richard Linklater* (Boyhood)
  2. Alejandro González Iñárritu* (Birdman)
  3. Wes Anderson (The Grand Budapest Hotel)
  4. Ava DuVernay (Selma)
  5. Morten Tyldum (The Imitation Game)

On the bubble: David Fincher (Gone Girl), Damien Chazelle (Whiplash)

Best Actor

Michael Keaton in Birdman

Michael Keaton in Birdman

  1. Michael Keaton* (Birdman)
  2. Eddie Redmayne* (The Theory of Everything)
  3. David Oyelowo (Selma)
  4. Benedict Cumberbatch (The Imitation Game)
  5. Jake Gyllenhaal (Nightcrawler)

On the bubble: Steve Carell (Foxcatcher)

Best Actress

Julianne Moore in Still Alice

Julianne Moore in Still Alice

  1. Julianne Moore* (Still Alice)
  2. Rosamund Pike* (Gone Girl)
  3. Felicity Jones (The Theory of Everything)
  4. Reese Witherspoon (Wild)
  5. Jennifer Aniston (Cake)

On the bubble: Amy Adams (Big Eyes), Marion Cotillard (Two Days, One Night)

Best Supporting Actor

J.K. Simmons in Whiplash.

J.K. Simmons in Whiplash.

  1. J.K. Simmons* (Whiplash)
  2. Edward Norton* (Birdman)
  3. Ethan Hawke* (Boyhood)
  4. Mark Ruffalo (Foxcatcher)
  5. Robert Duvall (The Judge)

Best Supporting Actress

Meryl Streep in Into the Woods

Meryl Streep in Into the Woods

  1. Patricia Arquette* (Boyhood)
  2. Emma Stone* (Birdman)
  3. Meryl Streep* (Into the Woods)
  4. Keira Knightley (The Imitation Game)
  5. Jessica Chastain (A Most Violent Year)

On the bubble: Laura Dern (Wild)

Best Original Screenplay


  1. Boyhood*
  2. Birdman*
  3. The Grand Budapest Hotel*
  4. Selma
  5. Nightcrawler

On the bubble: FoxcatcherA Most Violent Year

Note (1/10): It was unexpectedly announced this week that Whiplash is considered an Adapted Screenplay. My predictions have changed accordingly.

Best Adapted Screenplay


  1. The Imitation Game*
  2. The Theory of Everything*
  3. Gone Girl*
  4. Whiplash
  5. Wild

On the bubble: Unbroken

Best Animated Feature Film


  1. The Lego Movie*
  2. Big Hero 6
  3. The Boxtrolls
  4. How to Train Your Dragon 2
  5. The Book of Life

On the bubble: The Tale of the Princess KaguyaSong of the Sea

Best Documentary Film


  1. Citizenfour*
  2. Life Itself*
  3. The Overnighters
  4. Virunga
  5. Finding Vivian Maier

On the bubble: Jodorowsky’s DuneLast Days in Vietnam

Best Foreign Film


  1. Ida*
  2. Force Majeure
  3. Leviathan
  4. Wild Tales
  5. Tangerines

On the bubble: Timbuktu

Best Cinematography


  1. Birdman*
  2. Mr. Turner*
  3. Unbroken
  4. The Grand Budapest Hotel
  5. Ida

On the bubble: The Imitation GameInterstellar, Gone Girl,

Best Costume Design


  1. Into the Woods*
  2. Maleficent
  3. The Grand Budapest Hotel
  4. Mr. Turner
  5. The Imitation Game

Best Make-up and Hair

Steve Carell and Channing Tatum in Foxcatcher

Steve Carell and Channing Tatum in Foxcatcher

  1. The Grand Budapest Hotel
  2. Guardians of the Galaxy
  3. The Theory of Everything

On the bubble: MaleficentFoxcatcher

Best Production Design


  1. The Grand Budapest Hotel*
  2. Into the Woods*
  3. The Imitation Game
  4. Birdman
  5. Inherent Vice

On the bubble: InterstellarMr. Turner

Best Editing

Quad_BC_AW_[26237] Imitation Game, The

  1. Birdman*
  2. Boyhood*
  3. The Grand Budapest Hotel
  4. The Imitation Game
  5. Whiplash

On the bubble: SelmaGone GirlInterstellar

Best Visual Effects


  1. Interstellar*
  2. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes*
  3. The Hobbit: Battle of the Five Armies
  4. Guardians of the Galaxy
  5. Godzilla

On the bubble: Captain America – The Winter SoldierMaleficent

Best Original Score


  1. Interstellar
  2. Gone Girl
  3. The Theory of Everything
  4. The Imitation Game
  5. The Grand Budapest Hotel

On the bubble: Unbroken

Best Original Song


  1. “Glory” (Selma)*
  2. “Everything is Awesome” (The Lego Movie)*
  3. “Lost Stars” (Begin Again)
  4. “I’m Not Gonna Miss You (Glen Campbell: I’ll Be Me)
  5. “Mercy Is (Noah)

On the bubble: “Split the Difference” (Boyhood), “Big Eyes” (Big Eyes), “Yellow Flicker Beat” (The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1)

Note: After “Glory” and “Everything is Awesome,” this is a crapshoot.

Best Sound Editing


  1. Interstellar*
  2. Birdman
  3. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
  4. Unbroken
  5. American Sniper 

On the bubble: Into the WoodsGuardians of the Galaxy

Best Sound Mixing


  1. Into the Woods*
  2. Interstellar*
  3. Unbroken
  4. Whiplash
  5. American Sniper

Best Live Action Short

  1. Carry On
  2. The Phone Call
  3. Aya 
  4. Boogaloo and Graham
  5. My Father’s Truck

On the bubble: Summer Vacation, Baghdad Messi

Best Animated Short

  1. Feast*
  2. Duet
  3. Coda
  4. The Bigger Picture
  5. Footprints

On the bubble: Symphony #42The Dam Keeper

Feast is the only one I’ve seen, so pretty much anyone’s guess after that.

Best Documentary Short

  1. Crisis Hotline: Veterans Press One*
  2. The Lion’s Mouth Opens
  3. Joanna
  4. Our Curse
  5. One Child
  1. […] This Year in Cinema: The Oscarwatch – 2014 (aka Oscar Nomination Predictions) […]

  2. Ann says:


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