So we’ve reached the end of the line. Its time to look at the year in film, name some favorites, predict some awards, and so on. Today, its Oscarwatch, my Oscar-nominee predictions. Also, I officially predict that 12 Years a Slave will take home Best Picture at the Oscars.

Edits: (1/15): Amy Adams and Meryl Streep switch for Best Actress, Oprah Winfrey and Sally Hawkins switch for Best Supporting Actress, Omar and Two Lives in and The Grandmaster and The Missing Picture out for Best Foreign Film, All is Lost in and Rush out for Best Original Score, Lone Survivor in and Rush out for Best Sound Mixing, “Atlas” in and “Moon Song” out for Best Original Song, The Croods in and Despicable Me 2 out for Best Animated Film, Captain Phillips in and Rush out for Cinematography, Lone Survivor in and 12 Years a Slave out for Sound Editing.



Although there are still a couple weeks left before Oscar nominations are announced, I like to announce my predictions before the other awards shows (Golden Globes, etc.). Last year my rankings predicted Argo as the Best Picture winner in December, so I’m at it again.  My predictions are classified as either locks (marked with one of these: *, meaning they will for sure be nominated), and contenders, which are less certain. They are also ranked by likelihood of garnering the nomination. Here we go…

Best Picture (Between 5 and 10 films will be nominated) –  Also, I officially predict 12 Years a Slave will win Best Picture.


  1. 12 Years a Slave*
  2. Gravity*
  3. Her*
  4. American Hustle*
  5. Captain Phillips*
  6. Nebraska*
  7. The Wolf of Wall Street
  8. Inside Llewyn Davis
  9. Dallas Buyers Club
  10. Philomena

On the bubble: Saving Mr. Banks and Blue Jasmine.

List of my Best Picture favorites can be found here, with nomination listing.

Best Actor

Bruce Dern and Will Forte in Nebraska

Bruce Dern and Will Forte in Nebraska

  1. Chiwetel Ejiofor* (12 Years a Slave)
  2. Matthew McConaughey* (Dallas Buyers Club)
  3. Bruce Dern* (Nebraska)
  4. Tom Hanks (Captain Phillips)
  5. Robert Redford (All is Lost)

On the bubble: Christian Bale (American Hustle), Leonardo DiCaprio (Wolf of Wall Street).

Best Actress


  1. Cate Blanchett* (Blue Jasmine)
  2. Emma Thompson (Saving Mr. Banks)
  3. Sandra Bullock (Gravity)
  4. Judi Dench (Philomena)
  5. Amy Adams (American Hustle)

On the bubble: Meryl Streep (August: Osage County), Brie Larson (Short Term 12).

Best Supporting Actor

Tom Hanks as Captain Richard Phillips and Barkhad Abdi (left) as Abduwali Muse.

Tom Hanks as Captain Phillips and
Barkhad Abdi (left) as Abduwali Muse.

  1. Jared Leto* (Dallas Buyers Club)
  2. Michael Fassbender* (12 Years a Slave)
  3. Barkhad Abdi (Captain Phillips)
  4. Daniel Bruhl (Rush)
  5. James Gandolfini (Enough Said)

On the bubble: Tom Hanks (Saving Mr. Banks), Bradley Cooper (American Hustle).

Best Supporting Actress

Julia Roberts in August: Osage County

Julia Roberts in August: Osage County

  1. Lupita Nyongo* (12 Years a Slave)
  2. Jennifer Lawrence* (American Hustle)
  3. June Squibb (Nebraska)
  4. Julia Roberts (August: Osage County)
  5. Oprah Winfrey (The Butler)

On the bubble: Sally Hawkins (Blue Jasmine)

Best Director

Steve McQuinn directing 12 Years a Slave

Steve McQueen directing 12 Years a Slave

  1. Steve McQueen* (12 Years a Slave)
  2. Alfonso Cuaron* (Gravity)
  3. David O. Russell (American Hustle)
  4. Paul Greengrass (Captain Phillips)
  5. Martin Scorcese (The Wolf of Wall Street)

On the bubble: Alexander Payne (Nebraska), Spike Jonze (Her).

Best Original Screenplay

Bradley Cooper and Christian Bale in American Hustle

Bradley Cooper and Christian Bale in American Hustle

  1. American Hustle*
  2. Her*
  3. Blue Jasmine*
  4. Inside Llewyn Davis
  5. Nebraska

On the bubble: Gravity, Dallas Buyers Club

Best Adapted Screenplay


  1. 12 Years a Slave*
  2. Captain Phillips*
  3. Before Midnight
  4. The Wolf of Wall Street
  5. Philomena

On the bubble: August: Osage County

Best Animated Feature Film

Disney's Frozen

  1. Frozen*
  2. The Wind Rises*
  3. Monsters University
  4. The Croods
  5. Ernest and Celestine

On the bubble: Despicable Me 2, A Letter to Momo.

Best Documentary Film


  1. Stories We Tell*
  2. The Act of Killing*
  3. Blackfish
  4. 20 Feet From Stardom
  5. The Square

Best Foreign Film


  1. The Great Beauty*
  2. The Hunt
  3. The Broken Circle Breakdown
  4. Omar
  5. Two Lives

On the bubble: The Grandmaster, The Missing Picture

Best Cinematography


  1. Gravity*
  2. 12 Years a Slave
  3. Inside Llewyn Davis
  4. Prisoners
  5. Captain Phillips

On the bubble: Rush

Best Costume Design


  1. The Great Gatsby*
  2. 12 Years a Slave*
  3. American Hustle
  4. Oz, the Great and Powerful
  5. Saving Mr. Banks

On the bubble: The Invisible WomanThe Hobbit: Desolation of Smaug

Best Make-up and Hair

  1. American Hustle*
  2. The Lone Ranger
  3. Dallas Buyers Club

Best Production Design

  1. The Great Gatsby*
  2. 12 Years a Slave*
  3. Gravity
  4. The Hobbit: Desolation of Smaug
  5. American Hustle

On the bubble: Oz, the Great and PowerfulSaving Mr. Banks

Best Editing

  1. Gravity*
  2. 12 Years a Slave*
  3. American Hustle*
  4. Captain Phillips
  5. The Wolf of Wall Street

On the bubble: Rush

Best Visual Effects

  1. Gravity*
  2. Pacific Rim*
  3. The Hobbit: Desolation of Smaug
  4. Iron Man 3
  5. Star Trek: Into Darkness

On the bubble: ElysiumThor: The Dark World.

Best Original Score

  1. Gravity*
  2. 12 Years a Slave*
  3. Saving Mr. Banks
  4. The Book Thief
  5. All is Lost

On the bubble: RushCaptain Phillips

Best Original Song

  1. “Let it Go” (Frozen)*
  2. “Young and Beautiful” (The Great Gatsby)*
  3. “Ordinary Love” (Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom)
  4. “Atlas” (The Hunger Games: Catching Fire)
  5. “I See Fire” (The Hobbit: Desolation of Smaug)

Best Sound Editing

  1. Gravity*
  2. Captain Phillips*
  3. Rush
  4. Lone Survivor
  5. All is Lost

Best Sound Mixing

  1. Gravity*
  2. Captain Phillips*
  3. Lone Survivor
  4. All is Lost
  5. Inside Llewyn Davis

On the bubble: 12 Years a Slave, Oblivion

Best Animated Short

  1. Get a Horse*
  2. Mr. Hublot
  3. Room on the Broom
  4. The Missing Scarf
  5. Subconscious Password

Best Live Action Short

  1. The Voorman Problem
  2. Tiger Boy
  3. Dva
  4. Kush
  5. Throat Song

Best Documentary Short

  1. The Lady in #6: Music Saved My Life*
  2. Facing Fear
  3. Slomo
  4. Cavedigger
  5. Jujitsu-ing Reality

Let me know what you think. Tomorrow will be wrapping up part two of This Year in Cinema: Where Did They Come From?

  1. I shall take your pics to my Oscar party!

  2. Last year some folks did that and had success.

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